Western Resource Adequacy Program / Change Requests

Change Request 2024-CRF-005

Awaiting workplan review Enhancement

Request Summary

Load Forecast

Co-sponsors

 

Description Of Issue

The WRAP-wide established growth rate of 1.1% for the P50 Peak Load Forecast could be enhanced to capture the differences in expected load growth between the various WRAP participants. An inaccurate load growth rate will misinform the actual resource adequacy needs of the region, thereby degrading the effectiveness of the WRAP.

Proposed Solution

 

Specific Document And Language

 

Suggested Language Update

 

Benefits

More accurate P50 load forecasting will better inform the regional and participant-specific resource adequacy needs into the future. Having an objective 3rd party to determine the forecast could alleviate concerns of participant bias while also working towards the most accurate forecast for each participant. 

Data Or Information

Naturally any standard growth rate applied to the WRAP footprint or to a specific participant is just a forecast, but there could be hidden issues within sub-regions or individual states that could necessitate having more granular growth rates than footprint wide.